It occurred in Tunisia, Libya, and Egypt. It has occurred in Algeria and Sudan. All of the ousted Presidents of those international locations had served of their respective international locations for many years.
President Museveni has served for 3 a long time and needs extra.
Sincerely I don’t see any signal of mass demonstrations towards him within the close to future.
The distinction with Museveni is, he has not suffocated the mass with harmful data. He permits us to speak, and write to air out our grievances even when he fails to work on them. That little freedom of expression kills the anger as those that speak and write really feel nice that they’ve poured out – ‘Twamugambyeko.’
In all the opposite international locations the place mass demonstrations have eliminated the regimes, that little freedom of expression wasn’t there.
Secondly Normal Museveni could be very cautious about individuals who go into exile. He’ll maintain you right here even in case you are a giant stone in his political shoe. There’s nothing unhealthy like conserving your political opponents in exile. Will probably be simple for them to get monetary and ethical assist to disorganise your authorities. Sturdy Kagame is going through it tough along with his former comrades in exile.
Extra vital Museveni doesn’t entertain political prisoners. You disturb him, he’ll arrest you for some hours or days, take you to court docket and launch you on bail. With that course of you internationally develop into a political asset aside from a legal responsibility to him (Museveni). Right this moment Besigye and Bobi Wine are his political belongings.
In Uganda individuals are simply irritated however not but offended.
The Oxford English dictionary explains ‘irritated’ as barely getting offended.
Folks will critically reveal, or choose arms to struggle regimes when they’re absolutely offended. Annoyance will grow to be anger whenever you deny an individual to air out his/her grievances therefore suffocating them with phrases. On the finish they’ll burst out and struggle or reveal with out worry. One thing we noticed when Kabaka was denied to enter Bugerere.
I don’t suppose Gen Museveni can repeat that mistake
‘Divide and rule’.
It’s in Uganda the place you’ll find a peaceable household which sit on a similar eating desk however politically divided. For instance the spouse will be an FDC, the husband an NRM and the youngsters in Folks Energy motion. You possibly can’t count on a mass demonstration in such a society. Will probably be crashed earlier than it begins.
Amin and Obote suffocated folks to behave as they did. Folks talked in whispers. That’s how ‘Radio Katwe’ took place.
It was to move harmful data towards the governments of Amin and Obote. We additionally had Radio Tanzania which broadcasted in Luganda. Those that had been current as Idi Amin was fought out, bear in mind the propagandist Mr Majwara on that radio. There was no speaking brazenly. Right this moment, folks speak on greater than 100 radios and televisions which dot the nation. Plus on social media.
Others have even opened up on-line channels to speak. Even nonprofessionals, all of us speak as journalist.
President Museveni is aware of it that phrases don’t kill (Ebigambo Tebitta) nor can they take away authorities. He’ll allow you to abuse him as you need, permit you reveal a bit however disperse with teargas and pepper spray as it’s finished within the Western world.
There he’ll rule indefinitely.
The one group of individuals which I see in Uganda that’s offended at this time, are Moslems. They’ve been constantly irritated and so they worry to speak for worry of being the subsequent sufferer. And on the worldwide scene Museveni seems a hero for arresting Muslim terrorists.
Take it or go away it fellow Ugandans, you might be simply irritated however not offended.
However Take coronary heart. Allah bless you all.
Dr Ashraf Simwogerere is a veteran artiste, playwright and social media critic
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