This report is offered by the ODNI. Questions needs to be directed to the NIO for Close to East.
We assess that Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Muhammad bin Salman authorized an operation in Istanbul, Turkey to seize or kill Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi.
There’s no waffling right here: US intelligence implicates the crown prince in the murder of Khashoggi. It’s a conclusion that’s lengthy been identified, however now has the burden of the US authorities behind it. That’s significantly notable as a result of former President Donald Trump wouldn’t blame bin Salman — and likewise refused to launch a declassified intelligence evaluation after Congress handed laws requiring it to be made public.
The crown prince cemented his grip on energy November 2017 when about 200 individuals, together with a minimum of 17 princes, have been arrested and detained on the Riyadh Ritz Carlton. Read that story here.
We assess that Saudi Arabia’s Crown Prince Muhammad bin Salman authorized an operation in Istanbul, Turkey to seize or kill Saudi journalist Jamal Khashoggi. We base this evaluation on the Crown Prince’s management of decisionmaking within the Kingdom since 2017, the direct involvement of a key adviser and members of Muhammad bin Salman’s protecting element within the operation, and the Crown Prince’s help for utilizing violent measures to silence dissidents overseas, together with Khashoggi. Since 2017, the Crown Prince has had absolute management of the Kingdom’s safety and intelligence organizations, making it extremely unlikely that Saudi officers would have carried out an operation of this nature with out the Crown Prince’s authorization.
The evaluation that bin Salman has “absolute management” over the Kingdom’s safety and intelligence operations once more doesn’t mince phrases. We don’t know the intelligence that the evaluation is predicated on — the four-page report, ready this month, is brief on particulars.
It is a key element linking bin Salman to the killing of Khashoggi. The Fast Intervention Pressure’s involvement has long been in the public sphere, however now the US intelligence group is making the connection publicly. The Treasury Division introduced sanctions towards the group, generally known as the Tiger Squad, on Friday shortly after the report was launched.
CNN’s Alex Marquardt reported this week that two non-public jets utilized by the assassination squad have been owned by an organization that lower than a 12 months prior had been seized by bin Salman, in line with not too long ago filed court docket paperwork seen by CNN.
Whereas there’s no hesitation within the evaluation that the crown prince directed the operation towards Khashoggi, this implies there’s extra ambiguity surrounding the query of when the operation shifted from capturing Khashoggi to murdering him after he entered the Saudi consulate in Istanbul.
Now we have excessive confidence that the next people participated in, ordered, or have been in any other case complicit in or chargeable for the loss of life of Jamal Khashoggi on behalf of Muhammad bin Salman. We have no idea whether or not these people knew prematurely that the operation would lead to Khashoggi’s loss of life.
The intelligence group’s assessments are by no means absolute. They’re issued with various levels of confidence. Right here the usage of “excessive confidence” suggests there’s little doubt or disagreement contained in the intelligence group in regards to the involvement of the people listed within the operation.
Source link [:]